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Author/s:

Kristin L Walter

Aspirin for Primary Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Prevention as Baseline Risk Increases: A Meta-Regression Analysis

John Bayhi — Thu, 21 May 2020 16:39:36 +0000

Date Added:

May 21, 2020

Journal/Publication:

The American Journal of Medicine

Publisher:

Elsevier Inc

Publication Date:

May 20, 2020

Volume:

Article in Press

URL:

Aspirin for Primary Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Prevention as Baseline Risk Increases: A Meta-Regression Analysis

Type:

Meta-analyses, Reviews, and Guidelines

Format:

Article

DOI (1):

10.1016/j.amjmed.2020.04.028

Keywords

aspirin

primary prevention

Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

myocardial infarction

MeSH

cardiovascular diseases

Brain Ischemia

follow-up studies

myocardial infarction

This analysis of 12 RCTs involving almost 1 million patients found that low-dose aspirin prevents major cardiovascular events (RRReduction 14%; ARR/1000 patient years 0.06%) but increases major bleeding events (RRIncrease 40%; ARR/1000 patient years 0.1%) across all levels of baseline risk. The researchers concluded that the absolute risk reduction and the risk: benefit ratio suggest that we should probably not prescribe low-dose aspirin for primary prevention even if the baseline risk of CV events is high and the risk of bleeding is low. James W. Mold, MD, MPH

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Background

Aspirin is often prescribed for the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) however, recent randomized trials (RCTs) have challenged this practice. Despite this, aspirin is commonly recommended for high risk primary prevention. We tested the hypothesis that aspirin is more efficacious for the primary prevention of ASCVD, as the baseline risk increases.

Methods

RCTs that compared aspirin to control for primary prevention and evaluated ASCVD (composite of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) and major bleeding were included. Rate ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. A regression analysis was performed using the ASCVD event rate in the control arm of each RCT as the moderator.

Results

Twelve RCTs were identified with 963,829 patient years of follow-up. Aspirin was associated with a reduction in ASCVD (4.7 versus 5.3 events per 1,000 patient years; RR 0.86; 95% CI 0.79-0.92). There was increased major bleeding among aspirin users (2.5 versus 1.8 events per 1000 patient years, RR 1.41 95% CI, 1.29-1.54). Regression analysis found no relationship between the log rate ratio of ASCVD or major bleeding and incidence of ASCVD in the control arm of each RCT.

Conclusion

Aspirin is associated with a reduction in ASCVD when used for primary prevention; however, it is unlikely to be clinically significant given the increase in bleeding. More importantly, aspirin's treatment effect does not increase as ASCVD risk increases as many hypothesize. There is no suggestion from this data that use of aspirin for higher risk primary prevention patients is beneficial.

Author/s:

Nudy, M, Cooper, J, Ghahramani, M, Ruzieh, M, Mandrola, J, Foy, AJ