Proportional Hazards Models

Background: Evidence supporting the use of statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals aged ≥ 80 years remains limited. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term clinical benefits and safety of statins for primary prevention in patients aged 80 years and older.

Methods: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using electronic medical records and pharmacy dispensing data from Clalit Health Services in Israel, covering the period from January 2015 to December 2020. Patients aged ≥ 80 years without prior CVD who were persistent statin users were compared with similar patients not receiving statins. Exclusions included prior CVD, dialysis, or death within 1 year of follow-up. Outcomes included all-cause mortality, new coronary events, myopathy, dementia, and diabetes mellitus. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to assess the association between statin use and clinical outcomes.

Results: Among 15,745 patients (mean age 84.5 years; 66% female), 8413 were statin users. Over a 4-year mean follow-up, statin use was associated with a 31% reduction in mortality (HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.34-0.74; p < 0.001) and a 20% reduction in new coronary events (HR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.94; p = 0.008). No significant differences were observed in the incidence of myopathy, diabetes, or dementia. Benefits were not observed in patients who discontinued statins before age 80.

Conclusions: In patients aged ≥ 80 years, statin therapy for primary prevention was associated with reduced all-cause mortality and coronary morbidity, without increased risk of adverse events. Early discontinuation diminished these benefits.

Author/s:

Ophir Lavon, Wafaa Hamodi, Sameer Kassem

Corticosteroid Use and Risk of Herpes Zoster in a Population-Based Cohort

Saige Blanchard — Mon, 03 Jan 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Date Added:

January 3, 2022

Journal/Publication:

Mayo Clinic Proceedings

Publisher:

Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research

Publication Date:

November 1, 2021

Issue:

Volume:

Pages:

2843-2853

URL:

Corticosteroid Use and Risk of Herpes Zoster in a Population-Based Cohort

Type:

Clinical Research Results

Format:

Article

DOI (1):

10.1016/j.mayocp.2021.05.029

Keywords

Cohort

corticosteroids

Herpes zoster

PMID (1):

34736610

MeSH

Humans

aged

incidence

Proportional Hazards Models

cyclo(Arg-Pro)

Herpes Zoster

Not surprisingly, systemic corticosteroid use increases the risk of herpes zoster. James W. Mold, MD, MPH

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Objective: To examine the relationship between corticosteroid use and herpes zoster risk.

Methods: With data from a large cohort of adults (the 45 and Up Study) recruited between 2006 and 2009 and linked to health data sets, the effect of corticosteroid use on zoster risk was analyzed by Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, sex, and other characteristics.

Results: During 602,152 person-years (median, 7.36 years) of follow-up, there were 20,048 new systemic corticosteroid users and 6294 incident herpes zoster events among 94,677 participants (zoster incidence, 11.0 per 1000 person-years). Compared with nonusers, the risk of zoster was 59% higher in those using systemic corticosteroids (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.59; 95% CI, 1.48 to 1.71) and greater with higher cumulative doses: aHR of 1.32 (95% CI, 1.17 to 1.48), 1.74 (95% CI, 1.55 to 1.95), and 1.80 (95% CI, 1.61 to 2.02) for use of less than 500 mg, 500 mg to less than 1000 mg, and 1000 mg or more prednisolone equivalents, respectively (P value for trend, <.001). Compared with nonusers, zoster risk increased significantly (aHR, 6.00; 95% CI, 4.85 to 7.42) in the month after a single prescription of systemic corticosteroids and returned to levels similar to those in nonusers by the third month after dispensing (aHR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.49 to 1.69).

Conclusion: Practitioners should be alert to the increased risk of zoster among patients taking systemic corticosteroids. Given the significant morbidity from zoster, particularly in older adults, these findings support judicious prescribing of corticosteroids, including using as low a dose and as short a course as possible.

Keywords: Cohort; Corticosteroids; Herpes zoster.

Author/s:

Qian, J., Banks, E., Macartney, K., Heywood, A. E., Lassere, M. N., Liu, B.

Incidence, co-occurrence, and evolution of long-COVID features: A 6-month retrospective cohort study of 273,618 survivors of COVID-19

Bethie Seay — Tue, 05 Oct 2021 05:00:00 +0000

Date Added:

October 5, 2021

Journal/Publication:

PLOS Medicine

Publication Date:

September 28, 2021

Issue:

Volume:

Type:

Clinical Research Results

DOI (1):

10.1371/journal.pmed.1003773

An assessment of the epidemiology and characteristics of long COVID syndrome from nearly 275,000 linked electronic records.

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Background
Long-COVID refers to a variety of symptoms affecting different organs reported by people following Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. To date, there have been no robust estimates of the incidence and co-occurrence of long-COVID features, their relationship to age, sex, or severity of infection, and the extent to which they are specific to COVID-19. The aim of this study is to address these issues.

Methods and findings
We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on linked electronic health records (EHRs) data from 81 million patients including 273,618 COVID-19 survivors. The incidence and co-occurrence within 6 months and in the 3 to 6 months after COVID-19 diagnosis were calculated for 9 core features of long-COVID (breathing difficulties/breathlessness, fatigue/malaise, chest/throat pain, headache, abdominal symptoms, myalgia, other pain, cognitive symptoms, and anxiety/depression). Their co-occurrence network was also analyzed. Comparison with a propensity score–matched cohort of patients diagnosed with influenza during the same time period was achieved using Kaplan–Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazard model. The incidence of atopic dermatitis was used as a negative control.

Among COVID-19 survivors (mean [SD] age: 46.3 [19.8], 55.6% female), 57.00% had one or more long-COVID feature recorded during the whole 6-month period (i.e., including the acute phase), and 36.55% between 3 and 6 months. The incidence of each feature was: abnormal breathing (18.71% in the 1- to 180-day period; 7.94% in the 90- to180-day period), fatigue/malaise (12.82%; 5.87%), chest/throat pain (12.60%; 5.71%), headache (8.67%; 4.63%), other pain (11.60%; 7.19%), abdominal symptoms (15.58%; 8.29%), myalgia (3.24%; 1.54%), cognitive symptoms (7.88%; 3.95%), and anxiety/depression (22.82%; 15.49%). All 9 features were more frequently reported after COVID-19 than after influenza (with an overall excess incidence of 16.60% and hazard ratios between 1.44 and 2.04, all p < 0.001), co-occurred more commonly, and formed a more interconnected network. Significant differences in incidence and co-occurrence were associated with sex, age, and illness severity. Besides the limitations inherent to EHR data, limitations of this study include that (i) the findings do not generalize to patients who have had COVID-19 but were not diagnosed, nor to patients who do not seek or receive medical attention when experiencing symptoms of long-COVID; (ii) the findings say nothing about the persistence of the clinical features; and (iii) the difference between cohorts might be affected by one cohort seeking or receiving more medical attention for their symptoms.

Conclusions
Long-COVID clinical features occurred and co-occurred frequently and showed some specificity to COVID-19, though they were also observed after influenza. Different long-COVID clinical profiles were observed based on demographics and illness severity.

Author summary
Why was this study done?
Long-COVID has been described in recent studies. But we do not know the risk of developing features of this condition and how it is affected by factors such as age, sex, or severity of infection.
We do not know if the risk of having features of long-COVID is more likely after Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) than after influenza.
We do not know about the extent to which different features of long-COVID co-occur.
What did the researchers do and find?
This research used data from electronic health records of 273,618 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 and estimated the risk of having long-COVID features in the 6 months after a diagnosis of COVID-19. It compared the risk of long-COVID features in different groups within the population and also compared the risk to that after influenza.
The research found that over 1 in 3 patients had one or more features of long-COVID recorded between 3 and 6 months after a diagnosis of COVID-19. This was significantly higher than after influenza.
For 2 in 5 of the patients who had long-COVID features in the 3- to 6-month period, they had no record of any such feature in the previous 3 months.
The risk of long-COVID features was higher in patients who had more severe COVID-19 illness, and slightly higher among females and young adults. White and non-white patients were equally affected.
What do these findings mean?
Knowing the risk of long-COVID features helps in planning the relevant healthcare service provision.
The fact that the risk is higher after COVID-19 than after influenza suggests that their origin might, in part, directly involve infection with SARS-CoV-2 and is not just a general consequence of viral infection. This might help in developing effective treatments against long-COVID.
The findings in the subgroups, and the fact that the majority of patients who have features of long-COVID in the 3- to 6-month period already had symptoms in the first 3 months, may help in identifying those at greatest risk.

Author/s:

Taquet, M., Dercon, Q., Luciano, S., Geddes, J. R., Husain, M., Harrison, P. J.

Glucosamine/Chondroitin and Mortality in a US NHANES Cohort

Devin Evans — Mon, 21 Dec 2020 06:00:00 +0000

Date Added:

December 21, 2020

Journal/Publication:

Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine

Publication Date:

December 3, 2020

Issue:

Volume:

Pages:

842-847

URL:

Glucosamine/Chondroitin and Mortality in a US NHANES Cohort

Type:

Clinical Research Results

Format:

Article

DOI (1):

10.3122/jabfm.2020.06.200110

Keywords

Chondroitin

Cardiovascular Diseases

Proportional Hazards Models

PMID (1):

33219063

MeSH

Proportional Hazards Models

cohort studies

Cardiovascular System

Chondroitin

Glucosamine

A large, well-deigned cohort study confirming two prior studies showing that regular intake of glucosamine/chondroitin is associated with reduced cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. It doesn’t prove causation, but they were able to control for a number of potential confounders and co-variates. It would be helpful to have a potential mechanism. James W. Mold, MD, MPH

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Background: Limited previous studies in the United Kingdom or a single US state have demonstrated an association between intake of glucosamine/chondroitin and mortality. This study sought to investigate the association between regular consumption of glucosamine/chondroitin and overall and cardiovascular (CVD) mortality in a national sample of US adults.

Methods: Combined data from 16,686 participants in National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2010, merged with the 2015 Public-use Linked Mortality File. Cox proportional hazards models were conducted for both CVD and all-cause mortality.

Results: In the study sample, there were 658 (3.94%) participants who had been taking glucosamine/chondroitin for a year or longer. During followup (median, 107 months), there were 3366 total deaths (20.17%); 674 (20.02%) were due to CVD. Respondents taking glucosamine/chondroitin were less likely to have CVD mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.51; 95% CI, 0.28-0.92). After controlling for age, use was associated with a 39% reduction in all-cause (HR = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.49-0.77) and 65% reduction (HR = 0.35; 95% CI, 0.20-0.61) in CVD mortality. Multivariable-adjusted HR showed that the association was maintained after adjustment for age, sex, race, education, smoking status, and physical activity (all-cause mortality, HR = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.57-0.93; CVD mortality, HR = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23-0.75).

Conclusions: Regular intake of glucosamine/chondroitin is associated with lower all-cause and CVD mortality in a national US cohort and the findings are consistent with previous studies in other populations. Prospective studies to confirm the link may be warranted.

Author/s:

King, Dana E., Xiang, Jun

Handgun Ownership and Suicide in California

Brian Desmarais — Thu, 04 Jun 2020 19:59:09 +0000

Date Added:

June 4, 2020

Journal/Publication:

New England Journal of Medicine

Publication Date:

June 4, 2020

Volume:

382

Pages:

2220-2229

URL:

Handgun Ownership and Suicide in California

Type:

Clinical Research Results

Format:

Article

DOI (1):

10.1056/NEJMsa1916744

Keywords

MeSH

Proportional Hazards Models

Ethnic Groups

I know it isn’t always easy to inquire about gun ownership in Oklahoma. However, if the goal is to prevent premature death, you should certainly ask patients who are depressed. James W. Mold, MD, MPH

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BACKGROUND

Research has consistently identified firearm availability as a risk factor for suicide. However, existing studies are relatively small in scale, estimates vary widely, and no study appears to have tracked risks from commencement of firearm ownership.

METHODS

We identified handgun acquisitions and deaths in a cohort of 26.3 million male and female residents of California, 21 years old or older, who had not previously acquired handguns. Cohort members were followed for up to 12 years 2 months (from October 18, 2004, to December 31, 2016). We used survival analysis to estimate the relationship between handgun ownership and both all-cause mortality and suicide (by firearm and by other methods) among men and women. The analysis allowed the baseline hazard to vary according to neighborhood and was adjusted for age, race and ethnic group, and ownership of long guns (i.e., rifles or shotguns).

RESULTS

A total of 676,425 cohort members acquired one or more handguns, and 1,457,981 died; 17,894 died by suicide, of which 6691 were suicides by firearm. Rates of suicide by any method were higher among handgun owners, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.34 for all male owners as compared with male nonowners (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.13 to 3.56) and 7.16 for female owners as compared with female nonowners (95% CI, 6.22 to 8.24). These rates were driven by much higher rates of suicide by firearm among both male and female handgun owners, with a hazard ratio of 7.82 for men (95% CI, 7.26 to 8.43) and 35.15 for women (95% CI, 29.56 to 41.79). Handgun owners did not have higher rates of suicide by other methods or higher all-cause mortality. The risk of suicide by firearm among handgun owners peaked immediately after the first acquisition, but 52% of all suicides by firearm among handgun owners occurred more than 1 year after acquisition.

CONCLUSIONS

Handgun ownership is associated with a greatly elevated and enduring risk of suicide by firearm. (Funded by the Fund for a Safer Future and others.)

Author/s:

Studdert, D.M., Zhang, Y., Swanson, S.A., Prince, L., Rodden J.A., Holsinger, E.E., Wintemute, G.J., Miller, M., Spittal, M.J.

Association of household secondhand smoke exposure and mortality risk in patients with heart failure

John Bayhi — Fri, 03 Jan 2020 17:30:23 +0000

Date Added:

January 3, 2020

Journal/Publication:

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders

Publisher:

BioMed Central Ltd

Publication Date:

December 2, 2019

Issue:

Volume:

URL:

Association of household secondhand smoke exposure and mortality risk in patients with heart failure

Type:

Clinical Research Results

DOI (1):

10.1186/s12872-019-1269-y

Keywords

heart failure

mortality

secondhand smoke

PMID (1):

31791236

MeSH

Adult

Humans

self report

Proportional Hazards Models

risk factors

Tobacco Smoke Pollution

Nutrition Surveys

cardiovascular diseases

follow-up studies

Odds Ratio

health status

Surveys and Questionnaires

Prognosis

heart failure

Socioeconomic Factors

Second-hand smoke exposure appears to hasten death in patients with CHF. James W. Mold, MD, MPH

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BACKGROUND:

Secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure is a well-established cardiovascular risk factor, yet association between SHS and prognosis of heart failure remains uncertain.

METHOD:

Data were obtained from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys III from 1988 to 1994. Currently nonsmoking adults with a self-reported history of heart failure were included. Household SHS exposure was assessed by questionnaire. Participants were followed up through December 31, 2011. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to assess the association of household SHS exposure and mortality risk. Potential confounding factors were adjusted.

RESULTS:

Of 572 currently nonsmoking patients with heart failure, 88 were exposed to household SHS while 484 were not. There were totally 475 deaths during follow-up. In univariate analysis, household SHS was not associated with mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-1.26, p = 0.864). However, after adjustment for demographic variables, socioeconomic variables and medication, heart failure patients in exposed group had a 43% increase of mortality risk compared with those in unexposed group (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.10-1.86, p = 0.007). Analysis with further adjustment for general health status and comorbidities yielded similar result (HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.13-1.92, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION:

Household SHS exposure was associated with increased mortality risk in heart failure patients.

Author/s:

He, X, Zhao, J, He, J, Dong, Y, Liu, C